Altora Analysis
Every card pick settled in public · calibrated model analysis, not tips.
The live record · every card pick since 27 August 2026
"Model said" is the average probability the model gave its card picks; "actual vs said" is the calibration gap — positive means the model under-stated its chances, negative means it over-stated them. Pushes (stake returned on a whole-number line) are left out.
Before 3 Oct 2026 · card % = model alone
From 3 Oct 2026 · card % = model + market blend
Model probability said vs happened, by band
Before 3 Oct 2026 · card % = model alone
From 3 Oct 2026 · card % = model + market blend
Model probability said vs happened, by band
Before 3 Oct 2026 · card % = model alone
From 3 Oct 2026 · card % = model + market blend
Model probability said vs happened, by band
Most recent settled picks
| Date | Match | Market · pick | Model | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Savehof v Kristianstad Handbollsligan | Handicap Kristianstad — draw no bet | 54% | L |
| 19 Oct | Essen v Emsdetten 2. Bundesliga | Handicap Emsdetten -0.5 | 52% | L |
| 19 Oct | MMTS Kwidzyn v Stal Mielec Superliga | Match result MMTS Kwidzyn | 65% | W |
| 19 Oct | Savehof v Kristianstad Handbollsligan | Match result Kristianstad | 52% | L |
| 19 Oct | Essen v Emsdetten 2. Bundesliga | Match result Emsdetten | 48% | L |
| 19 Oct | MMTS Kwidzyn v Stal Mielec Superliga | Totals Under 58 | 54% | W |
| 19 Oct | Savehof v Kristianstad Handbollsligan | Totals Over 61.75 | 54% | W |
| 19 Oct | Essen v Emsdetten 2. Bundesliga | Totals Under 63.5 | 53% | W |
| 19 Oct | Kaustik v Krasnodar Superleague | Totals Under 64.75 | 53% | L |
| 19 Oct | HBW Balingen-Weilstetten v Hannover-Burgdorf Bundesliga | Totals Under 59.5 | 50% | W |
| 18 Oct | SCM Craiova W v Baia Mare W Liga Nationala Women | Handicap SCM Craiova W — draw no bet | 64% | W |
| 18 Oct | Flensburg-H. v Fuchse Berlin Bundesliga | Handicap Flensburg-H. +1.5 | 57% | W |
| 18 Oct | Suceava v CSM Bucuresti Liga Nationala | Handicap CSM Bucuresti — draw no bet | 53% | W |
| 18 Oct | N-Lubbecke v Huttenberg 2. Bundesliga | Handicap N-Lubbecke — draw no bet | 52% | W |
| 18 Oct | Lemgo v Goppingen Bundesliga | Match result Lemgo | 70% | W |
| 18 Oct | Nordhorn-Lingen v Ferndorf 2. Bundesliga | Match result Nordhorn-Lingen | 66% | L |
| 18 Oct | Fjellhammer W v Fana W Elkjop-ligaen Women | Match result Fana W | 58% | L |
| 18 Oct | SCM Craiova W v Baia Mare W Liga Nationala Women | Match result SCM Craiova W | 58% | W |
| 18 Oct | Stavropol v Dynamo Sungul Superleague | Match result Stavropol | 52% | W |
| 18 Oct | N-Lubbecke v Huttenberg 2. Bundesliga | Match result N-Lubbecke | 50% | W |
| 18 Oct | Suceava v CSM Bucuresti Liga Nationala | Match result CSM Bucuresti | 48% | W |
| 18 Oct | SC Magdeburg v Stuttgart Bundesliga | Totals Over 61.5 | 55% | L |
| 18 Oct | Dunarea Braila W v Iasi W Liga Nationala Women | Totals Over 54.5 | 55% | W |
| 18 Oct | Flensburg-H. v Fuchse Berlin Bundesliga | Totals Under 69 | 55% | W |
| 18 Oct | Nordhorn-Lingen v Ferndorf 2. Bundesliga | Totals Over 59.5 | 55% | W |
| 18 Oct | NEKA v Szeged NB I | Totals Over 63.25 | 54% | W |
| 18 Oct | Suceava v CSM Bucuresti Liga Nationala | Totals Over 58.25 | 54% | W |
| 18 Oct | Lemgo v Goppingen Bundesliga | Totals Over 59.5 | 53% | L |
| 18 Oct | Morrazo Cangas v Barcelona Liga ASOBAL | Totals Under 69.5 | 53% | W |
| 18 Oct | Tonder v Raekker Molle 1. Division | Totals Under 60.5 | 53% | W |
| 18 Oct | Povoa v Porto Andebol 1 | Totals Under 65.25 | 53% | L |
| 18 Oct | Izhevsk W v Krasnodar W Superleague Women | Totals Under 60.75 | 53% | W |
| 18 Oct | SCM Craiova W v Baia Mare W Liga Nationala Women | Totals Over 55.5 | 52% | W |
| 18 Oct | Fredericia v Skive Herre Handbold Ligaen | Totals Over 63.25 | 52% | W |
| 18 Oct | Aalborg v Mors Herre Handbold Ligaen | Totals Over 64.25 | 52% | L |
| 18 Oct | Stavropol v Dynamo Sungul Superleague | Totals Under 57.75 | 52% | L |
| 18 Oct | Targu Jiu W v Ramnicu Valcea W Liga Nationala Women | Totals Under 55.5 | 52% | W |
| 15 Oct | Zaglebie W v MKS Lublin W Superliga Women | Handicap Zaglebie W +1.25 | 66% | L |
| 15 Oct | Zvenigorod W v Krasnodar W Superleague Women | Handicap Zvenigorod W +1.25 | 64% | W |
| 15 Oct | Skovde W v Onnereds W SHE Women | Handicap Skovde W +0.5 | 56% | L |
| 15 Oct | HSG Wetzlar v Erlangen Bundesliga | Handicap HSG Wetzlar +1.5 | 51% | L |
| 15 Oct | Fredrikstad W v Follo W Elkjop-ligaen Women | Match result Fredrikstad W | 65% | W |
| 15 Oct | Tertnes W v Larvik W Elkjop-ligaen Women | Match result Larvik W | 62% | W |
| 15 Oct | Skovde W v Onnereds W SHE Women | Match result Skovde W | 56% | L |
| 15 Oct | Zaglebie W v MKS Lublin W Superliga Women | Match result Zaglebie W | 55% | L |
| 15 Oct | Zvenigorod W v Krasnodar W Superleague Women | Match result Zvenigorod W | 54% | L |
| 15 Oct | HSG Wetzlar v Erlangen Bundesliga | Match result Erlangen | 52% | W |
| 15 Oct | Helsingborg v Skovde Handbollsligan | Match result Helsingborg | 48% | L |
| 15 Oct | Helsingborg v Skovde Handbollsligan | Totals Under 63.25 | 54% | W |
| 15 Oct | HSG Wetzlar v Erlangen Bundesliga | Totals Over 59.5 | 54% | W |
| 15 Oct | Zaglebie W v MKS Lublin W Superliga Women | Totals Over 55.25 | 52% | L |
| 15 Oct | Kiel v Rhein-Neckar Bundesliga | Totals Over 58.5 | 51% | W |
| 15 Oct | Luch W v Izhevsk W Superleague Women | Totals Under 59.75 | 51% | L |
| 15 Oct | Zvenigorod W v Krasnodar W Superleague Women | Totals Under 58.75 | 51% | L |
| 14 Oct | Plan de Cuques W v Nice W Division 1 Women | Totals Under 55 | 54% | L |
| 14 Oct | Besancon W v Metz W Division 1 Women | Totals Under 61.5 | 52% | L |
| 14 Oct | Saint Amand W v Paris 92 W Division 1 Women | Totals Over 53.25 | 51% | L |
| 13 Oct | Torrelavega v Holstebro EHF European League | Handicap Torrelavega — draw no bet | 61% | W |
| 13 Oct | Chambery Savoie v Kadetten Schaffhausen EHF European League | Handicap Kadetten Schaffhausen — draw no bet | 57% | W |
| 13 Oct | Valur v Tatabanya EHF European League | Handicap Tatabanya — draw no bet | 53% | L |