BASKETBALL Record — Altora Analytics

Betting record · starts with pre-registered rules

The model is validated: 70% out-of-sample accuracy on 170,000+ games, with calibrated probabilities that track the sharp Betfair close (0.84 correlation). What it has not yet earned is a betting record, and we won't publish one until it does.

Our betting thresholds are being forward-tested privately over the summer. The public betting record starts in October 2026, with the rules published before the first bet, not fitted after it.

Totals (O/U) — validated · recording silently

The model for this market is built and validated.
We're recording bookmaker opening lines silently; its public betting record starts only with pre-registered rules, once the forward capture proves out.

Roadmap · validated 27 Jul 2026 (beat the rolling-league baseline in both out-of-sample halves, calibrated sigma) · public record starts with pre-registered rules when seasons resume (October 2026)

Handicap — validated · recording silently

The model for this market is built and validated.
We're recording bookmaker opening lines silently; its public betting record starts only with pre-registered rules, once the forward capture proves out.

Roadmap · validated 27 Jul 2026 (beat the rolling-league baseline in both out-of-sample halves, calibrated sigma) · public record starts with pre-registered rules when seasons resume (October 2026)