Altora Analytics
The market's closing price is its sharpest opinion. If our published picks consistently get better numbers than the close, that is the earliest real evidence a model has an edge, and it shows up long before profit curves mean anything. This page is rebuilt from the live ledgers every day. As of 5 November 2026.
Cumulative average, oldest pick to newest. Price-space CLV: how much better our logged price was than the closing price. Positive means we got the better number.
Cumulative average, oldest pick to newest. Implied-probability movement of our pick between publish and the off, in percentage points. Positive means the market moved toward our pick.
Cumulative average, oldest pick to newest. Implied-probability movement of our pick between publish and the off, in percentage points. Positive means the market moved toward our pick.
Cumulative average, oldest pick to newest. Implied-probability movement of our pick between publish and the off, in percentage points. Positive means the market moved toward our pick.
Cumulative average, oldest pick to newest. Implied-probability movement of our pick between publish and the off, in percentage points. Positive means the market moved toward our pick.
Cumulative average, oldest pick to newest. Implied-probability movement of our pick between publish and the off, in percentage points. Positive means the market moved toward our pick.
A positive average CLV on a small sample proves nothing, which is why every panel shows its n and small panels are tagged as early. A record can beat the close and still lose money over a stretch, and vice versa; CLV is the leading indicator, the settled records are the ground truth. Our probability quality by band is on the calibration page, and the rules behind every pick are on the methodology page.